The followings are some slides that I presented to my graduates beginning of this year on January 25th.
Note that the above analysis are based on probablity not 100% guranteed. It is my way of telling readers that commodities go through cycles, just as any other financial assets. If we pay close attention to the historical charts, we can get insights from them.
Finally, one small note on the palm oil prices, although I believe the palm oil price may bottom out in September 2014, however, March 2015 there might be a test of this year's low. If you are thinking of accummulating more on plantation stocks, perhaps you might want to spread out the investment thtoughout 2015.